Mariners vs Blue Jays ALCS Game 6 Odds & Picks

The Seattle Mariners are right on the edge of making history as they head into Game 6 of the 2025 American League Championship Series against the Toronto Blue Jays. With a 3–2 series lead after a solid 6–2 win in Game 5, they’ve got a real shot at clinching their first-ever trip to the World Series.

Sunday’s matchup promises some real drama. Toronto’s rookie sensation Trey Yesavage will try to keep the Blue Jays’ season alive, while Seattle’s steady right-hander Logan Gilbert looks to shut the door for the AL West champs.

It’s not just about the players, though. Betting markets and advanced stats are hinting at a high-scoring game, which honestly just makes this even more of a must-watch for baseball fans and anyone with a little skin in the game.

Mariners Eye Historic World Series Berth

The Seattle Mariners have waited decades for a shot like this. After finishing the regular season 90–72 and locking up the AL West, they’ve kept the momentum rolling into October.

They’ve looked tough on the road, going 3–1 away from T-Mobile Park so far in the postseason. Their Game 5 win really showed off the grit and balance that’s gotten them to the doorstep of history.

Offensive Leaders Stepping Up

Seattle’s lineup has leaned on big moments from Josh Naylor and Julio Rodríguez. Naylor’s been a steady force, hitting .295 with 20 homers and 92 RBIs during the regular season.

Rodríguez hasn’t been quite as hot lately, but he’s still a postseason threat—he’s already launched two home runs and driven in five runs in the ALCS.

Blue Jays Fighting to Stay Alive

The Toronto Blue Jays, who won the AL East with a 94–68 record, now face elimination. They’ve been in tough spots before, though, and their 2–2 postseason home record shows they’re not fazed by the moment.

The Rogers Centre crowd will be loud, and Toronto’s going to need every bit of that energy if they want to push this thing to Game 7.

Guerrero Jr. Leading the Charge

No one’s been more important for Toronto this postseason than Vladimir Guerrero Jr.. He’s put up a wild 1.495 OPS, with five homers and 11 RBIs in just nine playoff games.

Guerrero’s knack for clutch hits could decide everything if the Jays want to keep their season alive.

The Pitching Matchup

Game 6 brings a rematch between two familiar starters. Toronto’s Trey Yesavage, a rookie righty with a 3.21 ERA, hopes to rebound after a rough Game 2 against Seattle.

On the other side, Logan Gilbert returns for the Mariners. He’s been reliable all year, posting a 3.44 ERA and bringing some valuable playoff experience to the mound.

Keys to the Game

Here’s what both teams need to do:

  • Seattle: Jump on Yesavage early and keep up the offensive pressure. Their recent road success could be a big factor.
  • Toronto: Ride Guerrero Jr.’s hot bat and try to make Gilbert work hard for every out.
  • Defensive sharpness: Avoid mistakes and keep a close eye on aggressive runners like Rodríguez.

Betting Landscape and Predictions

Oddsmakers are giving Toronto a slight edge at –122 on the money line. Seattle’s at +102. The over/under sits at 7.5 runs, which hints at moderate scoring.

But SportsLine’s computer model doesn’t quite agree, projecting 9.4 total runs. It even suggests one side of the money line offers strong value—worth noting for anyone thinking about placing a bet.

Why This Game Could Be High-Scoring

Both starters have already faced these lineups, so hitters know what to expect. That familiarity, plus the pressure of elimination for Toronto and a potential clinch for Seattle, could lead to more aggressive swings and maybe a few extra runs than folks are expecting.

Final Thoughts

Game 6 of the ALCS could be one for the books. The Mariners are chasing their first World Series ticket, and the Blue Jays are fighting to keep their season alive.

Fans should brace themselves for drama and intensity. October baseball just hits different, doesn’t it?

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Here is the source article for this story: Mariners vs. Blue Jays MLB ALCS Game 6 predictions, line, odds, best bets by proven model

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