The 2026 BBWAA Hall of Fame ballot is shaping up to be one of the thinnest in recent memory. This year, 27 candidates—12 newcomers and 15 holdovers—make the cut.
Unlike recent ballots with multiple slam-dunk selections, there’s no obvious first-ballot inductee. With big names like Carlos Beltrán and Andruw Jones at the top of the returnees, voters face a tricky decision: how do you reward careers that don’t exactly scream “automatic Hall of Famer”?
Sure, the stats and history might paint this as a weak ballot, but there’s still plenty for baseball fans and historians to chew on as the January announcement approaches. The debates should get lively.
A Historically Weak Ballot
The numbers back up what everyone’s been saying—the ballot’s light compared to years past. By JAWS (which blends career and peak WAR to measure Hall worthiness), only Manny Ramirez and Alex Rodriguez hit the positional standards.
Six players have a JAWS above 50.0, but overall, the ballot just doesn’t stack up with the Hall’s elite. It’s tough to ignore the gap.
What’s Driving the Low Numbers?
Several things feed into this dip. Ramirez and Rodriguez have Cooperstown-worthy numbers, but voters have held their PED connections against them.
The rest of the field? Solid careers, sure, but missing that mix of longevity, dominance, and storylines that usually push a player over the top on their first try.
Leading Returnees: Beltrán and Jones
With no clear-cut rookies, the spotlight shifts to returning players who’ve been knocking on the door. Carlos Beltrán grabbed 70.3% of the vote in 2025, putting him in prime position.
He’s got it all—Gold Glove defense, clutch postseason moments, and a reputation as a true all-around star. Maybe this is the year he finally crosses that 75% mark.
Andruw Jones on the Cusp
Andruw Jones isn’t far behind, sitting at 66.2% after steady gains. He changed how we think about center field defense and brought real power to the plate.
Still, voters can’t quite agree, torn between his brilliant peak and the way his career tailed off. It’s a tough call.
Key Supporting Cast
Chase Utley, who pulled in 39.8% last year, could see his numbers rise. More voters now value advanced stats, which shine a spotlight on his second-base excellence.
But let’s be honest—he’s probably got a long road ahead before he gets to Cooperstown.
Intriguing Newcomers
This year’s most interesting newcomer is Cole Hamels. His 59.0 WAR and 48.2 S-JAWS land him just shy of typical Hall standards.
He’s got a World Series MVP and a reputation for steady, high-level pitching. Still, it’s hard to see him making a splash right away.
Ryan Braun’s bat speaks for itself, but his PED suspension and shorter career weigh him down. History hasn’t been kind to players with that kind of baggage, no matter the numbers.
Potential Impact of New Voters
One twist this year: the voter pool gets bigger. Now, MLB.com writers can cast ballots, possibly adding up to 50 new votes.
This could shake things up, especially for borderline guys like Utley. Modern analytics fans might see their favorites get a boost.
Why Voter Composition Matters
Hall of Fame voting always reflects generational divides. Newer voters lean into advanced stats while old-school voters stick with milestones.
Bringing in digital-era writers could speed things up for players whose value doesn’t always show up in the box score. Maybe we’ll see some surprises.
Looking Ahead to January
The results come out on January 20. Any inductees will join the Contemporary Baseball Era Committee’s picks at the Cooperstown ceremony on July 26.
Even in a so-called down year, the Hall of Fame ballot sparks plenty of debate and celebrates careers that left their mark on the game. That’s still worth watching.
The Long Game for Borderline Candidates
For players like Beltrán, Jones, and Utley, election might just come down to persistence. Sometimes, voters need a while to really dig into a candidate’s career and see the bigger picture.
This year, there’s a sense that the ballot isn’t as crowded. Maybe that gives these guys a little more space to make their case.
The 2026 class doesn’t exactly stack up against some of the loaded groups we’ve seen lately. Still, it’s sure to spark plenty of debate among fans and writers.
And honestly, isn’t that what the Hall of Fame is all about? Each ballot—whether packed or a little light—ends up woven into baseball’s history in its own way.
Here is the source article for this story: The Big Questions About the 2026 BBWAA Hall of Fame Ballot
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