Blue Jays vs White Sox: Betting Odds, Prediction, and Watch Guide

The Chicago White Sox and Toronto Blue Jays squared off on July 7, 2025, at Guaranteed Rate Field. Most folks expected a low-scoring game—maybe even a classic pitching duel.

Toronto rolled in with an eight-game winning streak. Their pitching had been lights out, while the White Sox’s offense just couldn’t seem to get going.

Betting odds leaned hard toward the under 8.5 runs. Analysts pointed to stats, weather, and some interesting market shifts as reasons for that cautious outlook.

Let’s dig into how this matchup shaped up and why the betting world zeroed in on a low score.

Toronto’s Pitching Dominance Leads the Way

The Blue Jays came in with serious momentum, thanks mostly to their pitching staff. Jose Berrios, in particular, had been on a tear.

In June, Berrios posted a 1.97 ERA. He anchored the rotation, and in four of his last seven starts, he allowed one run or less. That’s dominance you can’t really ignore.

Berrios vs. the White Sox Offense

Berrios faced a White Sox offense that’s been, well, pretty rough. They ranked 28th in MLB in Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) with a lousy 80 rating.

Chicago’s team batting average sat at just .222—dead last. Against right-handers, they somehow got even worse.

Berrios’s knack for shutting down hitters made things look bleak for Chicago’s lineup. The White Sox had trouble scoring against righties all season, and Berrios seemed poised to keep that trend alive.

White Sox Turn to Sean Burke

The White Sox put the ball in Sean Burke’s hand. He’d had some ups and downs this season, but lately, he’d looked sharper.

Burke carried a 3.23 ERA over his last seven starts. Even so, his overall numbers were shakier, and plenty of folks wondered if he could handle the Blue Jays’ lineup.

Toronto’s Offensive Drop-Off vs. Right-Handed Pitchers

Toronto’s offense, on the whole, had been solid. But against righties, their numbers dipped a bit—they sat 13th in MLB in wRC+ when facing right-handed pitching, compared to 10th overall.

This slight drop-off might’ve given Burke a sliver of hope. Still, Toronto’s lineup could explode at any moment, so Burke had little room for mistakes.

Betting Trends Favor the Under 8.5 Runs

Most of the pregame chatter circled around the betting line. The over/under was set at 8.5 runs, and a lot pointed toward a tight, low-scoring contest.

Toronto’s pitching, Chicago’s ice-cold bats, and the weather all seemed to push things toward the under. That’s what the data said, anyway.

The Role of Weather and Market Sentiment

Weather played a sneaky-big role here. Moderate temps and high humidity often mean fewer runs at Guaranteed Rate Field.

The wind was a non-factor, which usually helps pitchers. Betting action leaned heavily toward the under, and the line even dipped a bit from where it opened. That suggested sharp bettors felt pretty confident about a low score.

The Action Network flagged these trends and recommended the under 8.5 runs as their pick. With stats, weather, and market vibes all lining up, it’s tough to argue with that call.

Key Takeaways from the Matchup

Heading into this game, a few things stood out:

• Jose Berrios: He put together a dominant June. With a favorable matchup, he looked like Toronto’s best shot at a win.
• Chicago’s offensive struggles: The White Sox sat near the bottom of MLB in a bunch of important stats. They really had their work cut out for them.
• Sean Burke’s form: Burke showed some steadiness lately, but his inconsistency still made you wonder what to expect.
• Market and weather impacts: Both pointed toward a low-scoring game, which gave the under 8.5 bet a little extra appeal.

As the game got underway, pitching was the main storyline. Could Chicago finally snap out of their slump? Hard to say, but the matchup had enough wrinkles to keep bettors and fans guessing.

 
Here is the source article for this story: Blue Jays vs White Sox Odds, Prediction, Time, How to Watch MLB Monday