Fantasy Baseball Lineup Advice and Betting Tips for Wednesday

The August 13, 2025 edition of ESPN’s Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes brings a packed lineup of pitching matchups, betting tips, and DFS guidance for fantasy managers in standard 10-team leagues. If you’re looking for an edge, this breakdown powered by THE BAT X’s projections might be your ticket.

We’ve got high-upside rookie arms, risky returns from injury, targeted hitter matchups, and some sharp betting angles. It’s all about making the most of the day’s action—without drowning in data.

Pitching Matchups to Watch

August 13 offers some intriguing pitching storylines. There’s a mix of high-floor and high-risk arms in play.

Matchups, recent form, and workload could tip the scales. Sometimes it’s those little factors that separate a win from a WHIP disaster.

Eury Perez Seeks Redemption

Eury Perez looked dominant for the Miami Marlins—until a rough last outing. Now he faces a slumping Cleveland Guardians lineup, which feels like a real shot at redemption.

Perez’s strikeout upside is still sky-high, but if his command slips, things could get ugly. Meanwhile, Gavin Williams is coming off a near no-hitter, but word is he’s on a pitch limit that might cap his fantasy value.

Rookie McGreevy’s High-K Potential

St. Louis Cardinals rookie Michael McGreevy could be a sneaky play against the Colorado Rockies, who strike out a ton. Plus, Busch Stadium’s pitcher-friendly vibe gives him an extra boost.

Hunter Greene’s Risky Return

The Cincinnati Reds are getting Hunter Greene back from the injured list. He’ll face the loaded Philadelphia Phillies lineup, and while Greene piled up strikeouts on rehab, this matchup screams risk for WHIP and home runs allowed.

Pitching Matchup Quality Ratings

THE BAT X’s projections highlight a few team-vs-team battles for fantasy managers. These ratings blend opponent strikeout rates, power, weather, and ballpark quirks.

Best and Worst Spots

• Favorable: Milwaukee Brewers pitchers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates.
• Favorable: Texas Rangers pitchers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks.
• Tough Matchup: Cincinnati Reds pitchers vs. Philadelphia Phillies.

Hitters to Target

It’s not all about pitching. Some hitter matchups are just too juicy to overlook today.

THE BAT X points out a few spots where splits, ballparks, and pitcher tendencies all line up for offensive upside.

Lefty Power Bats in Play

• Kansas City Royals LHBs vs. Washington Nationals pitching.
• Chicago White Sox LHBs vs. Detroit Tigers pitching.
• Tampa Bay Rays LHBs vs. Oakland Athletics pitching.

These lefty bats aren’t just DFS plays—they’re interesting for prop bets in total bases or RBI markets too, given the soft pitching they’ll see.

Top Betting Picks

The board looks lively for August 13. Props for power, strikeouts, and game scripts all have some appeal.

Projections and Recommendations

• Will Smith to hit a home run: +425 odds, 19% projected probability.
• Brandon Woodruff under 7.5 strikeouts: -150 odds, 68% projection.
• Seth Lugo over 4.5 strikeouts: -160 odds, 64% projection.
• Zac Gallen under 5.5 strikeouts, especially with his recent velocity dip.

NRFI (No Run First Inning) looks pretty tempting for Rockies-Cardinals, Rays-Athletics, and Dodgers-Angels. Sometimes, a quick sweat is all you want.

The BAT X Advantage

All projections and matchup evaluations run on THE BAT X, a baseball analytics system that blends player skills, ballpark effects, weather, umpire quirks, and more.

This approach leans on measurable data—not just a hunch or gut instinct.

Fantasy managers can use this to lean into matchups like Perez vs. Cleveland or McGreevy vs. Colorado.

They can also steer clear of trickier spots, like Greene’s return against Philadelphia.

Bettors might spot value in overlooked lines or snag mispriced strikeout props.

There’s also a chance to exploit NRFI potential if conditions line up right. Come August 13, the numbers might just lead the way.

 
Here is the source article for this story: Fantasy baseball lineup advice and betting tips for Wednesday