Mets vs. Phillies: Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers & Top Props

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies are gearing up for a Monday night NL East showdown. There’s a twist, though—the Phillies, despite leading the division, enter as underdogs.

Oddsmakers have their reasons. The Mets are sending out a rookie pitcher making headlines, while the Phillies counter with a veteran who’s been struggling. The Mets’ offense has been coming through in big moments too, which just adds to the intrigue.

Mets Riding the Momentum with Nolan McLean

One of the most exciting things about the Mets’ season? Rookie pitcher Nolan McLean. He’s made just four career starts, but already boasts a tiny 1.37 ERA.

McLean’s looked calm and in control, even under pressure. He’s giving Mets fans plenty to talk about right now.

McLean’s Previous Success Against the Phillies

McLean has already faced the Phillies once this year. He shut them down with eight scoreless innings, showing off his command and nerves of steel.

That outing really put him on the map. Mets fans are feeling pretty hopeful as he takes the mound again tonight.

Phillies Relying on Struggling Aaron Nola

Things haven’t gone as well for Aaron Nola, the Phillies’ longtime ace. His ERA this season is a rough 6.78.

Since coming off the injured list, he’s actually gotten worse, posting an 8.38 ERA in recent games. That’s a tough pill for Phillies fans to swallow.

The Impact of Nola’s Inconsistency

Games started by Nola have been a struggle for Philadelphia. They’ve lost eight out of his thirteen starts.

He’s allowed four or more runs in most of those games. For a team hoping for the playoffs, that’s not what you want from your top starter.

Juan Soto’s Hot Streak Boosts Mets’ Offense

The Mets aren’t just relying on pitching. Juan Soto is on a tear, hitting .383 over his last 13 games with six home runs.

He’s been the spark in the middle of the lineup, and honestly, he looks locked in right now.

Soto’s History Against Nola

Soto’s numbers against Nola are eye-popping. He owns a career .979 OPS facing the Phillies’ righty, with plenty of extra-base hits to his name.

He seems to see Nola well and doesn’t miss the mistakes. That’s got to be in the back of everyone’s mind heading into tonight.

Why the Mets Are the Betting Favorite

Even though the Mets sit seven games behind in the standings, the betting edge feels obvious. Recent form, pitching, and that hot offense all point toward New York.

  • McLean already shut down the Phillies once and looks sharp.
  • Nola’s struggles have made the Phillies shaky when he pitches.
  • Juan Soto is red-hot and has a history of success against Nola.
  • The Mets have momentum and could start closing the gap in the standings.

Recommended Wager

Looking at McLean’s dominance and Soto’s hot streak, taking the Mets on the moneyline at -126 feels like the move. The Phillies’ spot at the top of the division might look intimidating on paper, but the numbers here just lean New York’s way.

Final Thoughts

Tonight’s Mets vs. Phillies matchup isn’t just another midsummer division game. It feels like a real test of where both teams are headed.

The Mets want to show they can close the gap on Philadelphia’s lead. Meanwhile, the Phillies really need Nola to get back on track.

On paper, it sure looks like the Mets could keep rolling, especially with McLean and Soto stepping up lately.

Baseball’s unpredictable, though. If these trends stick, New York might just grab a valuable win.

 
Here is the source article for this story: Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers and Prop Bets for Monday, Sept. 8

Scroll to Top