The MLB trade deadline is always a wild ride. As the 6 p.m. ET cutoff on July 31 creeps closer, teams scramble to finalize deals and shake up their rosters.
This year’s market feels especially unpredictable. Big-name players are either sticking around or dangling on the edge of blockbuster trades nobody can quite predict.
From flashy headline moves to sneaky under-the-radar deals, let’s take a look at the latest action as the clock ticks down.
Big Trade Moves: Diamondbacks Make Key Deal
Arizona Diamondbacks just made a splash by sending third baseman Suárez—who leads all third basemen with 36 home runs and 87 RBIs—to the Seattle Mariners. Seattle’s clearly gunning for the playoffs, grabbing one of the league’s top power hitters.
In return, Arizona picked up three prospects. They’re betting on the future, hoping these young guys can develop into stars down the line.
Why Teams Are Hesitant to Trade Stars
Surprisingly, the market for big-name players has cooled off. A bunch of stars are rumored to be available, but there’s no guarantee they’ll actually get moved.
Some teams just don’t want to part with their best players. Maybe it’s the money, maybe it’s the offers, or maybe they’re thinking long-term rebuild instead of a quick fix.
Pitchers in the Spotlight: Odds of a Deal
Pitchers are front and center, starting with Miami’s Alcantara. After tossing 12 shutout innings over his last two starts, he’s got a 70% chance to be traded, at least according to the rumor mill.
Miami might wait until the offseason, but Alcantara’s value looks sky-high right now. Meanwhile, MacKenzie Gore from the Nationals (4-11, 3.80 ERA) is a long shot to move—maybe a 15% chance, unless someone gets desperate.
Relievers Attracting Heavy Interest
If you love bullpen drama, this deadline’s got you covered. The Pirates’ David Bednar, with his 2.37 ERA and 17 saves, has teams lining up—odds are 80% he gets dealt.
The Cardinals already moved closer Ryan Helsley to the Mets for three prospects. Contenders are clearly hungry for reliable arms to lock down those late innings.
Diamondbacks’ Starters on the Move?
Arizona isn’t done yet. Starters Kelly (9-6, 3.28 ERA) and Gallen (7-12, 5.60 ERA) are both popping up in trade rumors.
Kelly’s been solid, but Gallen seems way more likely to move—there’s talk of a 90% chance. Arizona’s shaking things up in a big way, aiming for a better shot in the future.
Outfielders and Position Players
White Sox outfielder Luis Robert Jr. keeps popping up in rumors too. He’s had his share of injuries and some uneven stretches, but insiders say a trade is almost a lock.
On the other hand, Twins shortstop Carlos Correa is basically off-limits. His huge contract and his own desire to stick around Minnesota make a deal super unlikely.
What We Know About This Year’s Trade Landscape
This year’s deadline feels more calculated than chaotic. Teams are walking a tightrope between immediate needs and future plans.
- Pitching is in demand: Both starters and closers are hot commodities as contenders hunt for rotation help and bullpen stability.
- Return on investment matters: Teams like Arizona are trading current stars for prospects, clearly betting on tomorrow.
- Market dynamics: Most teams won’t move their marquee guys unless someone absolutely blows them away with an offer.
Looking Ahead
July 31 is creeping up, and honestly, nobody knows what’s about to happen. Maybe we’ll see blockbuster trades. Or maybe just a bunch of quiet roster tweaks.
The 2025 MLB trade deadline will definitely shake up pennant races in the coming weeks. With some clubs chasing contention and others eyeing a rebuild, the league’s landscape keeps shifting in ways that are hard to predict.
Here is the source article for this story: MLB trade deadline day: Who’s going and who’s staying, and what are the odds?
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