The Red Sox-Yankees playoff clash isn’t just about old-school rivalry. It’s also loaded with betting angles for fans who like to dig a little deeper. Both teams are rolling out rookie pitchers making their postseason debuts. Add in some shaky bullpens, and you get a matchup with plenty of props and value plays to consider.
Boston’s Connelly Early and New York’s Cam Schlittler will get things started. But honestly, the real action might show up in the strikeout numbers, RBI props, and whatever chaos unfolds late in the game.
Rookie Pitchers in the Playoff Spotlight
This game stands out because both starters are new to October baseball. For Boston, Connelly Early’s underlying stats really pop. He’s only made four MLB starts, but he’s already posted a 2.28 expected ERA (xERA), a 36.7% strikeout rate, and sharp control.
He’s been capped at about 90 pitches each outing, so he hasn’t been stretched out yet. Still, he’s made those innings count.
Early’s Upside in Limited Action
The Red Sox rookie has looked electric in short spurts. Early can miss bats and rarely hands out free passes. That’s a recipe for handling postseason nerves, especially against a Yankees lineup that loves to swing and miss.
If you’re thinking about strikeout props, Early’s a tempting option. He’s hit at least four strikeouts in every start, even with the pitch count limits.
Schlittler’s Experience vs. Potential Regression
On the other side, Cam Schlittler brings more experience—14 regular season starts. But his numbers come with a few warning signs. His 2.96 ERA looks solid, but a 3.99 xERA tells a different story.
He’s also walking hitters at a 10.2% clip. That’s not ideal against Boston’s patient lineup.
How Schlittler Matches Up Against Boston’s Core
Schlittler’s walk issues could get worse against Boston’s disciplined bats. If he puts runners on early, the Red Sox will crank up the pressure. Boston will probably try to wear him down and force the Yankees’ bullpen into action.
Bullpen Variables Could Swing the Outcome
Both bullpens bring plenty of questions. Boston might not have Garrett Whitlock available after some heavy recent use. That’s a big loss for their relief corps.
The Yankees’ bullpen hasn’t exactly inspired confidence, either. Late-inning leads feel shaky on both sides.
Betting Implications of Uneven Relief Corps
For bettors, unpredictable bullpens make underdog plays more appealing. If either starter gets chased early, things could swing fast. Boston’s moneyline might be worth a look, especially given their lineup and the value you might find in the odds.
Key Prop Bets for Red Sox-Yankees Playoff Clash
Outside the moneyline, a few props stand out:
- Connelly Early Strikeouts: He’s hit at least four Ks in every MLB start. The Yankees have plenty of high-strikeout hitters—Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, and Anthony Volpe among them.
- Alex Bregman RBI Props: He’ll likely hit behind Jaren Duran and Trevor Story, two guys who get on base. With Schlittler’s walk rate and Boston’s lineup depth, Bregman could see multiple RBI chances.
The Stanton-Judge-Volpe Factor
Stanton, Judge, and Volpe can all change a game with one swing. Still, their high strikeout rates give Early a shot at padding his K totals—if he keeps the ball out of the middle of the plate. That alone makes the strikeout prop pretty interesting.
Strategy Moving Forward
Rookie playoff starts can get wild, and honestly, neither bullpen feels all that trustworthy right now. If you’re betting, it makes more sense to look at specific player props than to just go heavy on the moneyline—unless you spot some truly wild underdog odds.
I’d keep an eye on Early’s strikeout line. Bregman’s RBI market also looks interesting, with both offering some real statistical angles before the first pitch.
The Red Sox-Yankees rivalry always brings drama. This year, maybe it’s got a few winning tickets hidden in there for folks willing to dig a little deeper.
Here is the source article for this story: 3 Best MLB Bets and Player Props for Red Sox at Yankees Game 3
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