The San Diego Padres are heading into a crucial offseason. ESPN’s Alden Gonzalez reports they might be eyeing a blockbuster move: trading for a top-tier starting pitcher.
Several rotation pieces could leave, forcing A.J. Preller and the front office to make some tough calls. They’ve got a heavy payroll already, but they still need to stay competitive in the NL West.
Their pitching staff needs help—that much is clear from the numbers. With free agent options limited by finances, the trade market feels like their best shot.
Padres Rotation Concerns Heading Into 2026
San Diego’s 2025 rotation finished 16th in MLB ERA, which looks fine at first glance. But a closer look shows they ranked 23rd in FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), which paints a less flattering picture.
That gap between ERA and FIP says the pitching staff allowed more damage than the surface stats show. If the Padres want to make a real postseason run, they can’t ignore these deeper issues.
Key Departures Could Widen the Gap
The possible loss of Dylan Cease, Michael King, and Nestor Cortes would hit the rotation hard. Losing those arms strips away depth and proven talent, so reinforcements are a must.
Right now, internal options like Randy Vasquez, J.P. Sears, and Mason Miller offer a mixed bag. Vasquez brings some reliability, but Sears is inconsistent, and Miller’s injuries make things murky.
Financial Pressure on the Padres’ Pursuit
The Padres’ payroll for 2026 looks overwhelming. Gonzalez points out that six players — Xander Bogaerts, Fernando Tatis Jr., Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, Manny Machado, and Nick Pivetta — are set to make about $120 million combined.
That sum alone puts San Diego among MLB’s biggest spenders. It’s a lot to juggle, honestly.
An Elite Payroll Without Elite Flexibility
The projected payroll gives the Padres the fourth-highest in the league for 2026. This limits their shot at marquee free agents like Framber Valdez.
It’s tempting to dream about adding an ace, but the financial reality demands creativity. Moving big contracts might be their only way to land a front-line starter via trade.
A.J. Preller’s Offseason Strategy
After a decade as Padres GM, A.J. Preller is known for bold, sometimes unpredictable moves. Gonzalez expects more of the same this offseason.
Preller could try a few different things:
- Package prospects with salary relief to land a proven ace.
- Trade an expensive veteran to clear payroll.
- Mix major and minor league talent in trade offers.
Balancing Win-Now Goals With Long-Term Sustainability
San Diego needs to keep a competitive roster without sacrificing the future. With Machado, Tatis Jr., and Bogaerts signed long-term, their offense is set.
But the rotation still lags behind division rivals like the Dodgers, Giants, and Diamondbacks. That’s not a small gap to close over a 162-game season.
Why the Padres Must Act Fast
Starting pitching depth dries up fast in today’s MLB. Teams lock up their aces, and trade prices skyrocket.
The Padres can’t wait until midseason to fix this. Injuries, slow starts, and a tough NL West race mean they need to move quickly.
Trade Market as the Likely Solution
San Diego’s financial situation is tough. Their best shot probably involves targeting pitchers who are under team control for a few years.
Landing that kind of arm could steady the rotation without crushing the payroll. Sure, it means giving up some top prospects, but honestly, with the competitive window still cracked open, isn’t it worth the gamble?
A trade feels more likely than some big, splashy free-agent signing. A.J. Preller’s never really backed away from taking big swings, has he?
This offseason’s moves might shape not just next year, but where the Padres stand in the NL West for a while.
Here is the source article for this story: Padres Predicted to Add Front-Line Starter in Blockbuster Trade This Offseason
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