Game 6 Prediction: Dodgers vs Blue Jays World Series Odds

If the Toronto Blue Jays want to finish the job and win the World Series at home, everyone’s watching Kevin Gausman. The veteran righty gets the ball in Game 6, hoping to deliver a championship in front of a wild home crowd.

His postseason’s been impressive, at least on the surface. Still, some recent patterns suggest there’s more going on—maybe even something that could swing this crucial game.

Gausman’s Postseason Performance: Dominance with a Caveat

Kevin Gausman’s playoff numbers look like a pitcher in control. Over five appearances—four of them starts—he’s put up a solid 2.55 ERA, showing the poise and command Jays fans expect.

He mixes pitches well and gets plenty of swings and misses. That’s kept most opponents off balance.

But there’s a concern. In his last three starts, covering 18 innings, Gausman has given up four home runs.

That’s a lot more than his regular-season pace, where he gave up less than one homer per nine innings. It feels like hitters are starting to figure him out.

The Flyball Factor

Gausman’s always been a flyball pitcher. Lately, though, hitters are getting the ball in the air even more often.

In all four postseason starts, he’s allowed at least 10 fly balls and never more than six grounders. Against a power-heavy lineup like the Dodgers, fly balls can turn into runs in a hurry.

Memorable Game 2 Setback

Game 2 showed just how risky that flyball habit can be. Gausman rolled along against the Dodgers until the seventh inning.

Then, Max Muncy and Will Smith both took him deep, ending his night early and flipping the momentum to L.A.

Personal Matchup Histories

There’s more to these home runs than just bad luck. Some Dodgers hitters have thrived against Gausman over the years:

• Max Muncy: 3 homers and 2 doubles in 23 career plate appearances
• Mookie Betts: 3 homers and a .306 batting average over 53 career matchups
• Will Smith: Key postseason homer off Gausman in Game 2

Those numbers really highlight the challenge Gausman faces with this lineup.

Betting Angles and Predictive Insights

Sports analyst Dylan Svoboda sees a betting angle here. He suggests taking a shot on Muncy, Betts, or Smith to hit home runs in Game 6.

Why? Their track record against Gausman, plus his recent flyball issues, make it likely at least one of them goes deep.

Risk Versus Reward for Bettors

Svoboda points out that if even one of these bets cashes, the payout could be worth it. For anyone wanting a little extra excitement, betting on proven sluggers with good matchups is a move based on history, not just a hunch.

What This Means for Game 6 Strategy

From Toronto’s side, they’ve got to limit the damage from those dangerous fly balls. That might mean working the edges more, mixing in extra off-speed pitches, or just trying to coax softer contact from the Dodgers’ big bats.

The Jays’ defense will have to stay sharp on fly balls and prevent extra-base hits. For Gausman, it’s simple but not easy: stick to his plan, keep the ball in the yard, and let his offense breathe a bit.

The championship is right there, but with the Dodgers’ power, one mistake could change everything. That’s baseball, right?

Final Thoughts

Game 6 means more to Kevin Gausman than just another start. It feels like a real turning point in his career.

His postseason ERA looks impressive, but those home runs keep popping up in conversations. Will he shut down the power hitters, or will they get to him again?

The answer could decide if the Blue Jays celebrate at home or get pushed into a nerve-wracking Game 7. Honestly, nobody knows yet.

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