Yankees vs Blue Jays Game 2 ALDS Prediction, Odds, Picks

Sunday, October 5, 2025, should bring plenty of drama to Rogers Centre. The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays are set for Game 2 of the American League Division Series.

First pitch lands at 4:08 p.m. ET, with Fox Sports 1 carrying the broadcast nationwide. Oddsmakers like the Yankees, but the Blue Jays just stunned them in Game 1, and that may give Toronto a mental edge.

With both teams stacked with stars and plenty of recent storylines, this one feels like a real can’t-miss for baseball fans and anyone who likes a little action on the side.

Yankees Favored but Must Bounce Back

The Yankees come into Game 2 as -155 moneyline favorites. That’s about a 61% implied chance to win, if you trust the books.

New York sits at -1.5 on the run line, and the total is set at 8 runs. Both the over and under are priced at -110, so nobody’s expecting a blowout either way.

New York’s Dominance as Favorites

The regular season numbers back up New York’s favorite status. They went 86–56 overall and won 60.6% of their 142 games as favorites.

Even more impressive, they’re 8–1 in their last ten games when the odds tilt their way. That’s a team that usually delivers when it’s supposed to.

Aaron Judge has been a monster, honestly—53 home runs, 114 RBIs, and a .331 average. He’s not doing it alone either, with Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham right there to back him up.

The Yankees’ lineup can turn a game on its head with one swing, and that’s always a threat.

Toronto Confident After Game 1 Win

Toronto enters Game 2 as a +129 underdog. That’s a 44% shot, give or take, but they’ve got reasons to feel good after that Game 1 win.

That victory not only set the tone for the series, but it’s got the home crowd buzzing and the team believing.

Underdog Success Story

The Blue Jays have worn the underdog label a lot—74 times in the regular season, actually. They won 56.8% of those games, which is nothing to sneeze at.

Even if they stumbled the last time they were underdogs before the playoffs, they keep finding ways to surprise people.

Toronto’s offense spreads the wealth. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. anchors the lineup with a .292 average and 23 homers, and he’s come up clutch more than once.

George Springer has chipped in with 32 home runs, so the Jays have more than one way to hurt you. They’ve averaged five runs per game over their last ten, and that rhythm could matter here.

What the Experts Predict

FOX Sports’ model, with input from Data Skrive and Sportradar, calls Game 2 a nail-biter. Their pick? A 4–3 Blue Jays win, which would sneak under the 8-run total.

That’s a pretty strong vote of confidence in Toronto’s pitching, at least for one more night.

Momentum vs. Statistical Advantage

It’s the Yankees’ numbers against the Blue Jays’ playoff spark. New York’s got power all over the field, but Toronto’s timely hitting and stubborn attitude make them a wild card.

Betting Angles to Watch

If you’re betting, there’s plenty to chew on for Game 2:

• Moneyline favorites: Backing the Yankees at -155 makes sense, given their track record when favored.
• Run line play: If you think New York can pull away, the -1.5 run line could be tempting.
• Total runs: With these pitchers and playoff tension, a lot of folks are leaning toward the under at 8 runs.
• Underdog potential: Toronto keeps pulling off upsets, and their offense is hot, so there’s value if you like the Jays to surprise again.

Final Thoughts

Game 2 of the Yankees–Blue Jays ALDS isn’t just another playoff contest. It’s a collision of numbers, stories, and postseason willpower.

The Yankees need to reassert themselves after dropping Game 1. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have a shot to take real control of the series in front of their home crowd.

Whether you’re in it for the love of October baseball or you’ve got a betting slip tucked away, expect intensity from the first pitch to the last out. It’s hard not to get caught up in the tension.

With stars like Aaron Judge and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. set to make their mark, Sunday’s matchup could end up as a defining chapter in the 2025 playoffs. Whoever wins won’t just take Game 2; they’ll grab the momentum heading into the critical stretch of this best-of-five series.

 
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